NRESi Colloquium: What can the SPEI tell us about the future of drought in British Columbia? Natalie Linklater, UNBC
Farmers and ranchers in British Columbia (B.C.) produce a diverse array of products, including dairy products and eggs, poultry and beef, vegetables, berries, grapes and tree fruit. The agrifood and seafood sector in B.C. contributes $14 billion or 2% of total provincial GDP and is an important part of making B.C. a healthy place. Climate change projections indicate that by 2050 B.C. can expect an average increase in temperature of 1.8°C and an increase in precipitation of 6%, with a 1% decrease during the summer. Hotter and drier conditions can exacerbate the frequency and severity of summer droughts as well as increase the likelihood of multi-year seasonal droughts. Using a water balance approach and the Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), this study examined projected changes to the available water in summer for agriculturally-significant watersheds in B.C. for two global greenhouse emission scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5).
The Natural Resources & Environmental Studies Institute (NRESi) at UNBC hosts a weekly lecture series at the Prince George campus. Anyone from the university or wider community with interest in the topic area is welcome to attend. Go to http://www.unbc.ca/nres-institute/colloquium-webcasts to view the presentation remotely.
Past NRESi colloquium presentations and special lectures can be viewed on our video archive, available here.
Contact Information
Al Wiensczyk, RPF
Research Manager,
Natural Resources and Environmental Studies Institute
Phone: 250-614-4354
Phone: 250-960-5018
Email: al.wiensczyk@unbc.ca